UNP in the next decade

UNP has experienced their biggest beating after the massive defeat in 2010, in the recent Presidential Election. Although the top trending candidate who was believed to be challenging for Gotabhaya Rajapaksa was placed, it was by far insufficient as Gotabhaya was aiming a definite victory even blindfolded, given the situation in the Country. Most of the political analysts predicted this long before, but the said predictions were covered up by the noisy campaign lead by the pro-Sajith group of UNP, which resulted a surprising defeat for them, which was infact very much predictable when such predictions are made open minded.

After the defeat UNP has fallen into their usual behavior trying to eat up each others heads, which bringing UNP closer to their own grave. The long lasted leader of UNP has shown a stubborn behavior inside the party, regardless his liberal approach in the national and international context.

Although Rajapaksa family is pointed at for their family stronghold in Sri Lankan politics, Ranil Wickramasinghe has maintained the same policy inside UNP for more than two decades.

This arbitrary stronghold caused much capable young politicians of UNP, who had unimaginably successful political potentials, to leave the party. Dayasiri Jayasekara was the best example for such capable second liners. Around 2010, Dayasiri J was very much popular to an extent which he might have made another Anura Bandaranaike out of Sajith Premadasa, as Mahinda Rajapaksa did in 2005.

Even now UNP is showing their unimaginable imature behavior being unable to read the situation in the country, politically, which shows their extreme poverty in political literacy as a party.

UNP is looking at definite defeats both in the coming General Election and Provincial Council Elections. TNA will probably contest alone, which strategy might also be followed by Hakeem and Rishad Bathurdeen looking forward for an alliance with SLPP after the General Election. This will decrease UNP vote base to a figure around 3.8mn, which will only secure 50-60 seats in parliament. It is also obvious that a number of newly elected UNP parliamentarians will join hands with SLPP for ministerial portfolios and other benefits. Therefore, it is not a lie if it is said, that UNP is to face all the possible challenges a political party is ever to face within the next year. In this situation crowning Sajith Premadasa as the PM candidate and gathering troops in a hurry becomes rubish, very very soon.

The main concern of UNP should be (when it comes to reality) holding the party together in coming heavy blows. Aiming for PM will give an unwanted artificial boost to the party morale, which is definitely going to explode around April - May 2020, making a significant damage which might cause a total fall apart.
SLPP and their think tankers correctly predicted the only threat they might face in the next decade. As a result, Patali Champika Ranawaka was made a target and attacked over a totally ridiculous issue. This shows the predicting capability of SLPP think tankers. UNP lacks this quality by far since their party policy still appears to be crowning the ones who appear to be born for it.

Neither Sajith Premadasa nor Navin Dissanayake nor Ruwan Wijewardane have shown the essential national leadership capacity for either premiereship or presidentship. UNP is to do the biggest digging in the recent political history of Sri Lanka looking for their next skipper.

When such huge challenge is around the cornor and nobody has any idea as to how they will tackle it, naming a PM candidate is totally laughable.